Spire Strategy

spire is a strategy and risk advisory that supports organisations with forecasting, strategy and execution services. the world today is marked by unprecedented global systemic complexity. correctly forecasting threats and quantifying future risks has never been more important to companies, organisations and governments. unfortunately, most current forecasting capabilities have proved inadequate, because the quantitative models they are based on are inadequate. they mostly analyse historical data clusters which by design miss outlying (e.g. black swan) risks. spire has addressed this problem by developing a qualitative framework, backed by a quantitative model, to identify unknown threats and quantify future risks, to companies and countries, particularly focusing on the cyber and geopolitical realms, as well as decision making within organisations. spire's framework is unique in its forecasting capabilities, because it is expert driven, and draws on a diverse set of qualitative and qua